Superforecasters

The future of universities and research is always the same: uncertain

Following the resignation of Andrew Sabisky as a government contractor on Monday evening, the prime minister’s chief adviser, who had hired the hapless “misfit”, told journalists to “read Tetlock’s Superforecasters instead of political pundits who don’t know what they’re talking about”. As a media storm raged over Sabisky’s past online comments, it is safe to say that neither Dominic Cummings nor Sabisky had seen it coming.

Everyone wants to gain a competitive advantage through predicting the future—apparently forecasting is a $50-billion (£38.5bn) industry worldwide. Playbook, of course, is well known for its predictive power—and with the Cheltenham Festival only a few weeks away, we look forward to bringing you more top tips.